This prediction is based on DPIRD’s Blackspot Manager model using weather data from 1 January 2019 to 16 June 2019 from the nearest weather station.
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Key to blackspot severity scores
Percentage yield loss (in years) for different levels of blackspot risk scenarios
| Blackspot risk | 5 out of 10 years | 3 out of 10 years | 1 out of 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Low | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| Medium | 20 | 25 | 35 |
| High | 25 | 30 | 50 |
Balaklava
Rainfall to date: 115.1 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 42
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | Getting too late to sow | Too late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Blyth (Hart)
Rainfall to date: 136.6 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 44
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | Getting too late to sow | Too late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Bordertown
Rainfall to date: 120.5 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 47
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is medium | OK to sow | Too late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Bute
Rainfall to date: 111 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 36
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | Getting late to sow | |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High | |
Ceduna
Rainfall to date: 83.2 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 41
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Late to sow | Late to sow | Late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Clare
Rainfall to date: 171.2 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 52
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is medium | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Crystal Brook
Rainfall to date: 105.1 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 46
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is medium | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is medium | Getting too late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Eudunda
Rainfall to date: 93.2 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 50
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is medium | OK to sow | Getting too late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Farrell Flat
Rainfall to date: 163.3 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 69
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginally late to sow | Marginally late to sow | Late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Keith
Rainfall to date: 115.4 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 54
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Kimba
Rainfall to date: 78.8 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 29
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Kingsford
Rainfall to date: 103 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 44
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Kyancutta
Rainfall to date: 88.8 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 39
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Lameroo
Rainfall to date: 91.9 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 38
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Lock
Rainfall to date: 54 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 33
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Maitland
Rainfall to date: 136 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 43
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Mannum
Rainfall to date: 68.2 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 37
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is medium | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Minlaton
Rainfall to date: 97.5 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 34
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Minnipa
Rainfall to date: 106.8 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 47
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Getting too late to sow | Getting too late to sow | Late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Mount Barker
Rainfall to date: 215.8 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 61
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Murray Bridge (Mypolonga)
Rainfall to date: 88.2 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 44
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is medium | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is medium | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Naracoorte
Rainfall to date: 120.7 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 55
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Nuriootpa
Rainfall to date: 106.9 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 41
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Palmer
Rainfall to date: 78.2 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 47
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Port Broughton
Rainfall to date: 127.9 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 36
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Riverton
Rainfall to date: 145 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 52
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is medium | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Sedan
Rainfall to date: 58.1 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 44
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Snowtown
Rainfall to date: 101.4 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 45
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is high | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Strathalbyn
Rainfall to date: 137.4 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 61
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginally late to sow | Late to sow | Late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Tumby Bay
Rainfall to date: 77.7 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 43
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is medium | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is medium | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Yeelanna
Rainfall to date: 136.2 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 45
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is medium | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is medium | Too late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Yorketown
Rainfall to date: 108.2 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 47
| Weekly forecast | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but blackspot disease risk is medium | OK to sow | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
More information
For more information contact Dr Jenny Davidson at SARDI on ph +61 (0)8 8303 9389.
