This prediction is based on DPIRD's Blackspot Manager model using weather data from 1 January 2018 to 26 June 2018 from the nearest weather station.
Key to blackspot severity scores
Percentage yield loss (in years) for different levels of blackspot risk scenarios | |||
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot risk | 5 out of 10 years | 3 out of 10 years | 1 out of 10 years |
Low | 2 | 5 | 15 |
Medium | 20 | 25 | 35 |
High | 25 | 30 | 50 |
Balaklava
Rainfall to date: 89mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 50
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 2 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) |
Okay to sow but risk is medium |
Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
lackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Blyth (Hart)
Rainfall to date: 108mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 74
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Bordertown
Rainfall to date: 132mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 62
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Bute
Rainfall to date: 122mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 74
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Clare
Rainfall to date: 162mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 87
Weekly forecast | 24 Jun | 1 Jul | 8 Jul |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Crystal Brook
Rainfall to date: 93mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 47
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow , but risk medium | Okay to sow , but risk medium | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Eudunda
Rainfall to date: 118mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 72
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Farrel Flat
Rainfall to date: 121.3mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 64
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Keith
Rainfall to date: 130mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 54
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Kimba
Rainfall to date: 83.8mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 38
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow but risk is medium | Okay to sow but risk is medium | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Kingsford
Rainfall to date: 121mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 86
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Kyancutta
Rainfall to date: 64mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 44
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow but risk is medium | Okay to sow but risk is medium | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Lameroo
Rainfall to date: 69mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 41
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow but risk is high | Okay to sow but risk is high | Okay to sow but risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Lock
Rainfall to date: 85mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 53
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Maitland
Rainfall to date: 142mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 71
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Mannum
Rainfall to date: 72mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 47
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow but risk is medium | Okay to sow but risk is medium | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Minlaton
Rainfall to date: 108mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 52
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 2 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow but risk is medium | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Minnipa
Rainfall to date: 57mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 40
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) |
Getting too late to sow and risk is medium |
Getting too late to sow and risk is medium |
Getting too late to sow and risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Mount Barker
Rainfall to date: 242mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 99
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Murray Bridge
Rainfall to date: 75mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 47
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow but risk is medium | Okay to sow but risk is medium | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Mypolonga
Rainfall to date: 66mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 41
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow but risk is medium | Okay to sow but risk is medium | Okay to sow but risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Naracoorte
Rainfall to date: 162mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 90
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Nuriootpa
Rainfall to date: 125mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 76
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Palmer
Rainfall to date: 108mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 69
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Port Broughton
Rainfall to date: 116mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 67
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Riverton
Rainfall to date: 138mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 71
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Sedan
Rainfall to date: 68mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 47
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow but risk is medium | Okay to sow but risk is medium | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Snowtown
Rainfall to date: 123mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 77
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Strathalbyn
Rainfall to date: 125mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 73
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Getting late to sow | Getting late to sow | Getting late to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Tumby Bay
Rainfall to date: 81mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 49
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 2 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow but risk is medium | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Yeelanna
Rainfall to date: 134mm. Days with significant stubble moisture:55
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Yorketown
Rainfall to date: 86mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 56
Weekly forecast | 24 June | 1 July | 8 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Okay to sow | Okay to sow | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
More information
For more information contact Dr Jenny Davidson at SARDI on +61 (0)8 8303 9389.