This prediction is based on DPIRD's Blackspot Manager model using weather data from 1 January 2018 to 2 May 2018 from the nearest weather station.
Key to blackspot severity scores
Blackspot risk | Five out of 10 years | Three out of 10 years | One out of 10 years |
---|---|---|---|
Low | 2 | 5 | 15 |
Medium | 20 | 25 | 35 |
High | 25 | 30 | 50 |
Balaklava
Rainfall to date: 28.7mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 21
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Blyth (Hart)
Rainfall to date: 30.5mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 29
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Bordertown
Rainfall to date: 29.6mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 27
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early | Too early | Marginal early |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Bute
Rainfall to date: 40.1mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 33
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is medium | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Clare
Rainfall to date: 56.2mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 42
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early | Too early | Too early |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Crystal Brook
Rainfall to date: 27.2mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 15
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Eudunda
Rainfall to date: 54.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 34
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Keith
Rainfall to date: 31.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 19
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Marginal early |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Kimba
Rainfall to date: 24mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 8
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Marginal early |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Kingsford
Rainfall to date: 49.8mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 43
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | OK to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Kyancutta
Rainfall to date: 30.7mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 19
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Marginal early |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Lameroo
Rainfall to date: 14.1mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 7
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Marginal early |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Lock
Rainfall to date: 35mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 21
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Marginal early |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Maitland
Rainfall to date: 45.6mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 33
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early | Too early | Marginal early |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Mannum
Rainfall to date: 22.5mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 13
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Marginal early |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Minlaton
Rainfall to date: 26.1mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 21
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Minnipa
Rainfall to date: 25.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 17
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Mount Barker SA
Rainfall to date: 94.9mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 55
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early | Too early | Too early |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Murray Bridge
Rainfall to date: 26.2mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 15
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Marginal early |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Mypolonga
Rainfall to date: 22mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 9
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Marginal early |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Naracoorte
Rainfall to date: 50.9mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 49
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 2 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early | Too early | Too early |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Nuriootpa
Rainfall to date: 52mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 32
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Palmer
Rainfall to date: 37.2mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 29
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Marginal early |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Port Broughton
Rainfall to date: 33.3mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 29
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Riverton
Rainfall to date: 54.2mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 35
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early | Too early | Marginal early |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Sedan
Rainfall to date: 22.1mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 13
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Marginal early |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Snowtown
Rainfall to date: 49.7mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 37
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Strathalbyn
Rainfall to date: 42.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 32
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Tumby Bay
Rainfall to date: 21.8mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 15
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Yeelanna
Rainfall to date: 32.6mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 22
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Yorketown
Rainfall to date: 29.8mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 20
Weekly forecast | 2 May | 9 May | 16 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
More information
For more information contact Dr Jenny Davidson at SARDI on ph +61 (0)8 8303 9389.