This prediction is based on DPIRD’s Blackspot Manager model using weather data from 1 January 2019 to 16 June 2019 from the nearest weather station.
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Key to blackspot severity scores
| Blackspot risk | 5 out of 10 years | 3 out of 10 years | 1 out of 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Low | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| Medium | 20 | 25 | 35 |
| High | 25 | 30 | 50 |
Ballarat
Rainfall to date: 236 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 76
| Forecast for crops sown on | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Bendigo
Rainfall to date: 127.6 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 61
| Forecast for crops sown on | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Beulah West (Hopetoun)
Rainfall to date: 117.4 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 37
| Forecast for crops sown on | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Getting late to sow and disease risk high | Getting late to sow and disease risk high | Getting too late to sow and disease risk high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Charlton
Rainfall to date: 170.5 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 63
| Forecast for crops sown on | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Getting late to sow | Getting late to sow | Getting too late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Cressy
Rainfall to date: 200 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 68
| Forecast for crops sown on | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Derrinallum (Leslie Manor)
Rainfall to date: 233.4 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 79
| Forecast for crops sown on | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Edenhope
Rainfall to date: 153.7 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 63
| Forecast for crops sown on | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Horsham
Rainfall to date: 121.5 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 44
| Forecast for crops sown on | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | Getting late to sow and disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Molyullah (Benalla)
Rainfall to date: 205.6 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 84
| Forecast for crops sown on | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Nhill
Rainfall to date: 115.6 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 47
| Forecast for crops sown on | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is medium | OK to sow | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Quambatook
Rainfall to date: 109.9 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 50
| Forecast for crops sown on | 16 June | 23 June | 30 Jun |
|---|---|---|---|
| eBlackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Getting late to sow, but disease risk is medium | Getting too late to sow | Late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Swan Hill Aerodrome
Rainfall to date: 82.8 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 41
| Forecast for crops sown on | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Getting late to sow and disease risk is high | Getting late to sow and disease risk is high | Getting too late to sow and disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Warracknabeal
Rainfall to date: 140.6 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 46
| Forecast for crops sown on | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | Getting late to sow and disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Warranooke (Marnoo)
Rainfall to date: 163.8 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 53
| Forecast for crops sown on | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Wycheproof
Rainfall to date: 149.1 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 50
| Forecast for crops sown on | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Getting late to sow and disease risk is Medium | Getting late to sow | Getting too late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Yatchaw (Hamilton)
Rainfall to date: 200.8 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 83
| Forecast for crops sown on | 16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
More information
For more information contact Dr Joshua Fanning at at Agriculture Victoria Research on ph +61 (0)3 4344 3335.
