This prediction is based on DPIRD's Blackspot Manager model using weather data from 1 January 2019 to 28 April 2019 from the nearest weather station.
Key to blackspot severity scores
Blackspot risk | 5 out of 10 years | 3 out of 10 years | 1 out of 10 years |
Low | 2 | 5 | 15 |
Medium | 20 | 25 | 35 |
High | 25 | 30 | 50 |
Ballarat
Rainfall to date: 45.2mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 33
Forecast for crops sown on | 28 Apr | 5 May | 12 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3 to 4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Bendigo
Rainfall to date: 27.4mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 19
Forecast for crops sown on | 28 Apr | 5 May | 12 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Beulah West (Hopetoun)
Rainfall to date: 19.7mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 8
Forecast for crops sown on | 28 Apr | 5 May | 12 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Charlton
Rainfall to date: 36.2mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 21
Forecast for crops sown on | 28 Apr | 5 May | 12 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Cressy
Rainfall to date: 57.9mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 27
Forecast for crops sown on | 28 Apr | 5 May | 12 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Edenhope
Rainfall to date: 34.9mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 29
Forecast for crops sown on | 28 Apr | 5 May | 12 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Horsham
Rainfall to date: 20mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 7
Forecast for crops sown on | 28 Apr | 5 May | 12 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Molyullah (Benalla)
Rainfall to date: 70.9mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 47
Forecast for crops sown on | 28 Apr | 5 May | 12 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is medium | OK to sow but disease risk is medium | OK to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Nhill
Rainfall to date: 22mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 14
Forecast for crops sown on | 28 Apr | 5 May | 12 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Swan Hill Aerodrome
Rainfall to date: 16mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 7
Forecast for crops sown on | 28 Apr | 5 May | 12 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Warranooke (Marnoo)
Rainfall to date: 47.7mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 13
Forecast for crops sown on | 28 Apr | 5 May | 12 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Wycheproof
Rainfall to date: 21.5mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 14
Forecast for crops sown on | 28 Apr | 5 May | 12 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Yatchaw (Hamilton)
Rainfall to date: 58.2mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 41
Forecast for crops sown on | 28 Apr | 5 May | 12 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is medium | OK to sow but disease risk is medium | OK to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
More Information
For more information contact Dr Joshua Fanning at Agriculture Victoria Research on ph +61 (0)3 4344 3335.