This prediction is based on DPIRD’s Blackspot Manager model using weather data from 1 January 2019 to 3 June 2019 from the nearest weather station.
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Key to blackspot severity scores
| Blackspot risk | 5 out of 10 years | 3 out of 10 years | 1 out of 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Low | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| Medium | 20 | 25 | 35 |
| High | 25 | 30 | 50 |
Ballarat
Rainfall to date: 198 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 63
| Forecast for crops sown on | 3 June | 10 June | 17 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Bendigo
Rainfall to date: 101.8 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 49
| Forecast for crops sown on | 3 June | 10 June | 17 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Beulah West (Hopetoun)
Rainfall to date: 81 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 30
| Forecast for crops sown on | 3 June | 10 June | 17 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk high | Getting late to sow, but disease risk high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Charlton
Rainfall to date: 146.6 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 53
| Forecast for crops sown on | 3 June | 10 June | 17 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Cressy
Rainfall to date: 171.3 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 64
| Forecast for crops sown on | 3 June | 10 June | 17 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Derrinallum (Leslie Manor)
Rainfall to date: 207 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 67
| Forecast for crops sown on | 3 June | 10 June | 17 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Edenhope
Rainfall to date: 125.8 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 58
| Forecast for crops sown on | 3 June | 10 June | 17 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Horsham
Rainfall to date: 86 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 38
| Forecast for crops sown on | 3 June | 10 June | 17 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Molyullah (Benalla)
Rainfall to date: 174.1 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 78
| Forecast for crops sown on | 3 June | 10 June | 17 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Nhill
Rainfall to date: 68 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 42
| Forecast for crops sown on | 3 June | 10 June | 17 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Quambatook
Rainfall to date: 106.6 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 45
| Forecast for crops sown on | 3 June | 10 June | 17 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk high | Getting late to sow, but disease risk medium | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Low |
Swan Hill Aerodrome
Rainfall to date: 76.4 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 32
| Forecast for crops sown on | 3 June | 10 June | 17 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Ok to sow and disease risk high | ok to sow and disease risk high | Getting late to sow and disease risk high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Warracknabeal
Rainfall to date: 94.3 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 41
| Forecast for crops sown on | 3 June | 10 June | 17 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Warranooke (Marnoo)
Rainfall to date: 138.8 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 48
| Forecast for crops sown on | 3 June | 10 June | 17 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Wycheproof
Rainfall to date: 124.1 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 46
| Forecast for crops sown on | 3 June | 10 June | 17 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | Getting late to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Yatchaw (Hamilton)
Rainfall to date: 163.1 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 76
| Forecast for crops sown on | 3 June | 10 June | 17 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
More information
For more information contact Dr Joshua Fanning at at Agriculture Victoria Research on ph +61 (0)3 4344 3335.
