This prediction is based on DPIRD's Blackspot Manager model using weather data from 1 January 2018 to 13 June 2018 from the nearest weather station.
Key to blackspot severity scores
Blackspot risk | Five out of 10 years | Three out of 10 years | One out of 10 years |
---|---|---|---|
Low | 2 | 5 | 15 |
Medium | 20 | 25 | 35 |
High | 25 | 30 | 50 |
Ballarat
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 202.6mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 76
Forecast for crops sown on | 12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | Sow | Sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Benalla
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 131.9mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 66
Forecast for crops sown on | 12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | Sow | Sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Charlton
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 92mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 47
Forecast for crops sown on | 12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 2 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still medium | Sow | No longer optimal to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Cressy
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 121.3mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 66
Forecast for crops sown on | 12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | Sow | No longer optimal to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Edenhope
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 162.9mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 76
Forecast for crops sown on | 12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginally early to sow | Sow | Sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Hamilton
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 181.7mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 73
Forecast for crops sown on | 12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | Sow | Sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Hopetoun
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 50.7mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 22
Forecast for crops sown on | 12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still high | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still high | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Horsham
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 101.1mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 59
Forecast for crops sown on | 12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | Sow | No longer optimal to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Marnoo
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 92.9mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 55
Forecast for crops sown on | 12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | Sow | Sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Nhill
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 77.7mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 47
Forecast for crops sown on | 12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 2 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still medium | Sow | Sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Swan Hill
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 66.2mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 34
Forecast for crops sown on | 12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still high | No longer optimal to sow, but note blackspot risk is still medium | No longer optimal to sow, but note blackspot risk is still medium |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Wycheproof
Last date used for prediction: 12 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 95mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 54
Forecast for crops sown on | 12 June | 19 June | 26 June |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | No longer optimal to sow | No longer optimal to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
More information
For more information, contact Luise Sigel (plant pathologist) at Agriculture Victoria on +61 (0)3 5362 2111.