This prediction is based on DPIRD's Blackspot Manager model using weather data from 1st January 2019 to 12th May 2019 from the nearest weather station.
Key to blackspot severity scores
| Blackspot risk | 5 out of 10 years | 3 out of 10 years | 1 out of 10 years |
| Low | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| Medium | 20 | 25 | 35 |
| High | 25 | 30 | 50 |
Ballarat
Rainfall to date: 147mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 47
| Forecast for crops sown on | 12 May | 19 May | 26 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Bendigo
Rainfall to date: 72mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 30
| Forecast for crops sown on | 12 May | 19 May | 26 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk medium |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Beulah West (Hopetoun)
Rainfall to date: 48.5mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 19
| Forecast for crops sown on | 12 May | 19 May | 26 May |
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Charlton
Rainfall to date: 121mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 33
| Forecast for crops sown on | 12 May | 19 May | 26 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow, but disease risk medium |
| Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Cressy
Rainfall to date: 127mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 39
| Forecast for crops sown on | 12 May | 19 May | 26 May |
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Low |
Edenhope
Rainfall to date: 63.7mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 34
| Forecast for crops sown on | 12 May | 19 May | 26 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow, but disease risk medium |
| Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Horsham
Rainfall to date: 58.6mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 18
| Forecast for crops sown on | 12 May | 19 May | 26 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Molyullah (Benalla)
Rainfall to date: 118.9mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 57
| Forecast for crops sown on | 12 May | 19 May | 26 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Nhill
Rainfall to date: 39.6mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 25
| Forecast for crops sown on | 12 May | 19 May | 26 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Quambatook
Rainfall to date: 71.9mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 25
| Forecast for crops sown on | 12 May | 19 May | 26 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Swan Hill Aerodrome
Rainfall to date: 59mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 18
| Forecast for crops sown on | 12 May | 19 May | 26 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Warracknabeal
Rainfall to date: 68.1mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 18
| Forecast for crops sown on | 12 May | 19 May | 26 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Warranooke (Marnoo)
Rainfall to date: 119.8mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 24
| Forecast for crops sown on | 12 May | 19 May | 26 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Wycheproof
Rainfall to date: 102.2mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 26
| Forecast for crops sown on | 12 May | 19 May | 26 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is medium |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Yatchaw (Hamilton)
Rainfall to date: 92.6mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 51
| Forecast for crops sown on | 12 May | 19 May | 26 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is medium | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
More information
For more information contact Dr Joshua Fanning at at Agriculture Victoria Research on ph +61 (0)3 4344 3335.
