This prediction is based on DPIRD’s Blackspot Manager model using weather data from 1st January 2019 to 19th May 2019 from the nearest weather station.
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Key to blackspot severity scores
| Blackspot risk | 5 out of 10 years | 3 out of 10 years | 1 out of 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Low | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| Medium | 20 | 25 | 35 |
| High | 25 | 30 | 50 |
Ballarat
Rainfall to date: 147.4 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 52
| Forecast for crops sown on | 19 May | 26 May | 2 Jun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Bendigo
Rainfall to date: 72.4 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 35
| Forecast for crops sown on | 19 May | 26 May | 2 Jun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk medium |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Beulah West (Hopetoun)
Rainfall to date: 49.5 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 23
| Forecast for crops sown on | 19 May | 26 May | 2 Jun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Charlton
Rainfall to date: 122.8 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 38
| Forecast for crops sown on | 19 May | 26 May | 2 Jun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow, but disease risk medium |
| Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Cressy
Rainfall to date: 130.1 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 46
| Forecast for crops sown on | 19 May | 26 May | 2 Jun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Edenhope
Rainfall to date: 64 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 38
| Forecast for crops sown on | 19 May | 26 May | 2 Jun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow, but disease risk medium |
| Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Horsham
Rainfall to date: 59.1 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 22
| Forecast for crops sown on | 19 May | 26 May | 2 Jun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Molyullah (Benalla)
Rainfall to date: 119 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 61
| Forecast for crops sown on | 19 May | 26 May | 2 Jun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Nhill
Rainfall to date: 40 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 29
| Forecast for crops sown on | 19 May | 26 May | 2 Jun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Quambatook
Rainfall to date: 67.4 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 30
| Forecast for crops sown on | 19 May | 26 May | 2 Jun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is medium |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Swan Hill Aerodrome
Rainfall to date: 59.2 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 22
| Forecast for crops sown on | 19 May | 26 May | 2 Jun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Warracknabeal
Rainfall to date: 70.9 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 22
| Forecast for crops sown on | 19 May | 26 May | 2 Jun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Warranooke (Marnoo)
Rainfall to date: 117.7 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 28
| Forecast for crops sown on | 19 May | 26 May | 2 Jun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Wycheproof
Rainfall to date: 103.5 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 31
| Forecast for crops sown on | 19 May | 26 May | 2 Jun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is medium |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Yatchaw (Hamilton)
Rainfall to date: 93.7 mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 55
| Forecast for crops sown on | 19 May | 26 May | 2 Jun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
More information
For more information contact Dr Joshua Fanning at at Agriculture Victoria Research on ph +61 (0)3 4344 3335.
