This prediction is based on DPIRD’s Blackspot Manager model using weather data from 1 January 2019 to 26 May 2019 from the nearest weather station.
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Key to blackspot severity scores
| Percentage yield loss (in years) for different levels of blackspot risk scenarios | |||
| Blackspot risk | 5 out of 10 years | 3 out of 10 years | 1 out of 10 years |
| Low | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| Medium | 20 | 25 | 35 |
| High | 25 | 30 | 50 |
Ballarat
Rainfall to date: 154.8mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 55
| Forecast for crops sown on | 26 May | 2 June | 9 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Bendigo
Rainfall to date: 82.2mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 41
| Forecast for crops sown on | 26 May | 2 June | 9 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Beulah West (Hopetoun)
Rainfall to date: 54.8mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 24
| Forecast for crops sown on | 26 May | 2 June | 9 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Charlton
Rainfall to date: 131mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 45
| Forecast for crops sown on | 26 May | 2 June | 9 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Cressy
Rainfall to date: 134mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 48
| Forecast for crops sown on | 26 May | 2 June | 9 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Edenhope
Rainfall to date: 74.8mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 45
| Forecast for crops sown on | 26 May | 2 June | 9 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow, but disease risk medium | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Horsham
Rainfall to date: 72mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 29
| Forecast for crops sown on | 26 May | 2 June | 9 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk high | OK to sow, but disease risk high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Molyullah (Benalla)
Rainfall to date: 128.1mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 67
| Forecast for crops sown on | 26 May | 2 June | 9 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Nhill
Rainfall to date: 51.4mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 32
| Forecast for crops sown on | 26 May | 2 June | 9 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is medium |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Quambatook
Rainfall to date: 73.5mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 31
| Forecast for crops sown on | 26 May | 2 June | 9 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is medium |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Swan Hill Aerodrome
Rainfall to date: 65mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 23
| Forecast for crops sown on | 26 May | 2 June | 9 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Warracknabeal
Rainfall to date: 78.1mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 27
| Forecast for crops sown on | 26 May | 2 June | 9 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Warranooke (Marnoo)
Rainfall to date: 127.3mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 35
| Forecast for crops sown on | 26 May | 2 June | 9 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is medium | OK to sow, but disease risk is medium |
| Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Wycheproof
Rainfall to date: 108mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 32
| Forecast for crops sown on | 26 May | 2 June | 9 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is high | OK to sow, but disease risk is medium |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Yatchaw (Hamilton)
Rainfall to date: 108.4mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 62
| Forecast for crops sown on | 26 May | 2 June | 9 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
More information
For more information contact Dr Joshua Fanning at at Agriculture Victoria Research on ph +61 (0)3 4344 3335.
