This prediction is based on DPIRD's Blackspot Manager model using weather data from 1 January 2018 to 4 June 2018 from the nearest weather station.
Key to blackspot severity scores
| Blackspot risk | Five out of 10 years | Three out of 10 years | One out of 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Low | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| Medium | 20 | 25 | 35 |
| High | 25 | 30 | 50 |
Ballarat
Last date used for prediction: 4 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 185.2mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 73
| Forecast for crops sown on | 4 June | 11 June | 18 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | Sow | Sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Benalla
Last date used for prediction: 4 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 99.5mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 61
| Forecast for crops sown on | 4 June | 11 June | 18 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | Sow | Sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Charlton
Last date used for prediction: 4 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 67.1mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 41
| Forecast for crops sown on | 4 June | 11 June | 18 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still medium | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still medium | Sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Cressy
Last date used for prediction: 4 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 113.3mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 64
| Forecast for crops sown on | 4 June | 11 June | 18 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | Sow | Sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Edenhope
Last date used for prediction: 4 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 147mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 74
| Forecast for crops sown on | 4 June | 11 June | 18 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | Sow | Sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Hamilton
Last date used for prediction: 4 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 165.3mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 73
| Forecast for crops sown on | 4 June | 11 June | 18 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | Sow | Sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Hopetoun
Last date used for prediction: 4 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 35.3mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 17
| Forecast for crops sown on | 4 June | 11 June | 18 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still high | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still high | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Horsham
Last date used for prediction: 4 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 82.5mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 53
| Forecast for crops sown on | 4 June | 11 June | 18 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | Sow | Sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Marnoo
Last date used for prediction: 4 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 79.1mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 49
| Forecast for crops sown on | 4 June | 11 June | 18 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 2 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still medium | Low | Low |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Nhill
Last date used for prediction: 4 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 63.3mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 41
| Forecast for crops sown on | 4 June | 11 June | 18 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still medium | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still medium | Sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Swan Hill
Last date used for prediction: 4 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 43.2mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 29
| Forecast for crops sown on | 4 June | 11 June | 18 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still high | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still high | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still medium |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Wycheproof
Last date used for prediction: 4 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 78.2mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 49
| Forecast for crops sown on | 4 June | 11 June | 18 June |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 2 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still medium | Sow | Sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
More information
For more information, contact Luise Sigel (plant pathologist) at Agriculture Victoria on +61 (0)3 5362 2111.
