This prediction is based on DPIRD's Blackspot Manager model using weather data from 1st January 2019 to 5th May 2019 from the nearest weather station.
Key to blackspot severity scores
| Blackspot risk | 5 out of 10 years | 3 out of 10 years | 1 out of 10 years |
| Low | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| Medium | 20 | 25 | 35 |
| High | 25 | 30 | 50 |
Ballarat
Rainfall to date: 75.4mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 40
| Forecast for crops sown on | 5 May | 12 May | 19 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is medium | OK to sow but disease risk is medium | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Bendigo
Rainfall to date: 51.6mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 24
| Forecast for crops sown on | 5 May | 12 May | 19 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Beulah West (Hopetoun)
Rainfall to date: 32.8mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 12
| Forecast for crops sown on | 5 May | 12 May | 19 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Charlton
Rainfall to date: 80.6mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 26
| Forecast for crops sown on | 5 May | 12 May | 19 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Cressy
Rainfall to date: 83.4mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 32
| Forecast for crops sown on | 5 May | 12 May | 19 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3 to 4 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is medium |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Edenhope
Rainfall to date: 38mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 29
| Forecast for crops sown on | 5 May | 12 May | 19 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Horsham
Rainfall to date: 36.2mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 11
| Forecast for crops sown on | 5 May | 12 May | 19 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Molyullah (Benalla)
Rainfall to date: 105.4mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 50
| Forecast for crops sown on | 5 May | 12 May | 19 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow | OK to sow | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Nhill
Rainfall to date: 26.4mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 18
| Forecast for crops sown on | 5 May | 12 May | 19 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Quambatook
Rainfall to date: 42.9mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 19
| Forecast for crops sown on | 5 May | 12 May | 19 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Swan Hill Aerodrome
Rainfall to date: 41.6mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 12
| Forecast for crops sown on | 5 May | 12 May | 19 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Warracknabeal
Rainfall to date: 49.4mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 11
| Forecast for crops sown on | 5 May | 12 May | 19 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Warranooke (Marnoo)
Rainfall to date: 84.7mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 17
| Forecast for crops sown on | 5 May | 12 May | 19 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Wycheproof
Rainfall to date: 60.2mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 19
| Forecast for crops sown on | 5 May | 12 May | 19 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high | OK to sow but disease risk is high |
| Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Yatchaw (Hamilton)
Rainfall to date: 61.2mm Days with significant stubble moisture: 43
| Forecast for crops sown on | 5 May | 12 May | 19 May |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 3 to 4 | 2 |
| Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | OK to sow but disease risk is medium | OK to sow but disease risk is medium | OK to sow |
| Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
More Information
For more information contact Dr Joshua Fanning at at Agriculture Victoria Research on ph +61 (0)3 4344 3335.
