This prediction is based on DPIRD's Blackspot Manager model using weather data from 1 January 2018 to 18 June 2018 from the nearest weather station.
Key to blackspot severity scores
Blackspot risk | Five out of 10 years | Three out of 10 years | One out of 10 years |
---|---|---|---|
Low | 2 | 5 | 15 |
Medium | 20 | 25 | 35 |
High | 25 | 30 | 50 |
Bencubbin
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 99.6mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 37
17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|
25% spore released - blackspot risk high | 34% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 50% spore released - blackspot risk medium |
Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Boyup Brook
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 187.6mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 51
17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|
57% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 66% spore released - blackspot risk low | 79% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow – do not sow dry | Sow – do not sow dry | Sow – do not sow dry |
Cunderdin
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 101.4mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 44
17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|
41% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 50% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 66% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Dowerin
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 96.9mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 36
17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|
23% spore released - blackspot risk high | 31% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 48% spore released - blackspot risk medium |
Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Gairdner
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 74.7mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 53
17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|
62% spore released - blackspot risk low | 75% spore released - blackspot risk low | 86% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow – do not sow dry | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Jacup
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 100.2mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 62
17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|
79% spore released - blackspot risk low | 85% spore released - blackspot risk low | 92% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow – do not sow dry | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Katanning
Last date used for prediction: 16 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 137.6mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 53
16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
---|---|---|
62% spore released - blackspot risk low | 68% spore released - blackspot risk low | 80% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow – do not sow dry | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Kojonup
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 176.7mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 61
17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|
77% spore released - blackspot risk low | 83% spore released - blackspot risk low | 91% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow – do not sow dry | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Kondinin
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 118.2mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 53
17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|
62% spore released - blackspot risk low | 70% spore released - blackspot risk low | 82% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Lake King
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 100.3mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 62
17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|
79% spore released - blackspot risk low | 85% spore released - blackspot risk low | 92% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Merredin
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 91.9mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 39
17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|
29% spore released - blackspot risk high | 38% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 55% spore released - blackspot risk medium |
Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Mingenew
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 147.9mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 37
17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|
25% spore released - blackspot risk high | 34% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 50% spore released - blackspot risk medium |
Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Moora
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 145.9mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 42
17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|
36% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 46% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 62% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Mount Howick
Last date used for prediction: 16 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 162mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 78
16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
---|---|---|
96% spore released - blackspot risk low | 98% spore released - blackspot risk low | 100% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow – do not sow dry | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Mt Barker
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 131.2mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 75
17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|
94% spore released - blackspot risk low | 97% spore released - blackspot risk low | 99% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow – do not sow dry | Sow – do not sow dry | Sow – do not sow dry |
Mullewa
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 132.9mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 39
17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|
29% spore released - blackspot risk high | 38% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 55% spore released - blackspot risk medium |
Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Newdegate
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 74mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 56
17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|
68% spore released - blackspot risk low | 75% spore released - blackspot risk low | 86% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Northam
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 153.2mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 38
17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|
27% spore released - blackspot risk high | 36% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 53% spore released - blackspot risk medium |
Do not sow | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Pingrup
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 78.7mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 49
17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|
53% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 62% spore released - blackspot risk low | 75% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Salmon Gums
Last date used for prediction: 16 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 178mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 65
16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
---|---|---|
83% spore released - blackspot risk low | 87% spore released - blackspot risk low | 94% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Scaddan
Last date used for prediction: 16 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 244.4mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 62
16 June | 23 June | 30 June |
---|---|---|
79% spore released - blackspot risk low | 88% spore released - blackspot risk low | 94% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Tammin
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 89.4mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 43
17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|
38% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 48% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 64% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |
Toodyay
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 196.7mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 45
17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|
43% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 53% spore released - blackspot risk medium | 68% spore released - blackspot risk low |
Sow - do not sow | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing | Do not sow – high yield loss for late sowing |