Seasonal Climate Outlook

Growing season outlook (April-October) for the south-west of Western Australia

DAFWA’s SSF is indicating a 20-60% chance of exceeding median rainfall for April to October. The most probable decile range map indicates rainfall decile of 2-3 for the majority of the South West Land Division. Predictive skill based on March conditions is poor to good (50-75% consistent).

SSF forecast of probability of exceeding median rainfall for April to October 2017 indicating 30-60% chance of exceeding median rainfall.
SSF forecast of probability of exceeding median rainfall for April to October 2017
SSF most probable decile map for April to October 2017 indicating decile 2-3 rainfall most likely for the majority of the South-West Land Division.
SSF most probable decile map for April to October 2017
Percent Consistent skill of the SSF at forecasting April to October rainfall using data up to and including March. Skill is 50–75% consistent.
Percent consistent skill of the SSF at forecasting April to October rainfall using data up to and including March