Seasonal Climate Outlook

Bureau of Meteorology seasonal climate outlook

The Bureau of Meteorology’s climate outlooks are generated by a dynamical (physics based) coupled atmosphere-ocean climate model.

The Bureau of Meteorology’s current seasonal outlook is indicating a 35-50% chance of exceeding median rainfall for August to October, for the SWLD. Predictive skill is mostly poor to moderate (45-65% consistent).

Temperature outlooks for August to October 2018, from the Bureau indicate a 60-70% chance of above normal day-time maxima for the SWLD. Skill is poor to good at 50-75% consistent. Minimum temperature outlooks indicate a 65-75% chance of above normal night-time minima for the SWLD, with skill poor at 45-55% consistent.

. Rainfall outlook for August to October 2018 for Western Australia from the Bureau of Meteorology. Indicating a 35-50% chance of exceeding median rainfall.
Rainfall outlook for August to October 2018 for Western Australia from the Bureau of Meteorology
Percent Consistent skill of the Bureau of Meteorology’s outlook for August to October rainfall. Indicating a 45 to 65 percent consistent skill.
Percent Consistent skill of the Bureau of Meteorology’s outlook for August to October rainfall