Bureau of Meteorology seasonal climate outlook
The Bureau of Meteorology’s climate outlooks are generated by a dynamical (physics based) coupled atmosphere-ocean climate model.
The Bureau of Meteorology’s current seasonal outlook is indicating a 35-50% chance of exceeding median rainfall for August to October, for the SWLD. Predictive skill is mostly poor to moderate (45-65% consistent).
Temperature outlooks for August to October 2018, from the Bureau indicate a 60-70% chance of above normal day-time maxima for the SWLD. Skill is poor to good at 50-75% consistent. Minimum temperature outlooks indicate a 65-75% chance of above normal night-time minima for the SWLD, with skill poor at 45-55% consistent.