Bureau of Meteorology seasonal climate outlook
The Bureau of Meteorology’s climate outlooks are generated by a dynamical (physics based) coupled atmosphere-ocean climate model.
The Bureau of Meteorology’s current seasonal outlook indicates that SWWA and the southern wheat-belt have equal chances of a wetter or drier February-April 2017, with 45-55% chance of exceeding the median rainfall. For the individual month of February the chances have increased to 60-80% but are lower 25-40% for the month of March. Predictive skill for the February-April period is 45-75% consistent, which is considered poor to good.
Temperature outlooks from the Bureau indicate a 45-55% (neutral) chance of above normal day-time maxima and above normal night-time minima across the region for the February-April period (poor to good skill, 50-75% consistent).
