Seasonal Climate Outlook

June to October Outlook for the south-west of Western Australia

DAFWA’s SSF is indicating a 0-40% chance of exceeding median rainfall for the majority of the South West Land Division for June to October 2017. The most probable decile range map indicates rainfall decile of 2-3 for the majority of the SWLD. Predictive skill based on April conditions is poor to moderate (50-75% consistent).

SSF forecast of probability of exceeding median rainfall for June to October 2017 indicating 0-40% chance of exceeding median rainfall.
SSF forecast of probability of exceeding median rainfall for June to October 2017
Percent consistent skill of the SSF at forecasting June to October rainfall using data up to and including April. Skill is 50–75% consistent.
Percent consistent skill of the SSF at forecasting June to October rainfall using data up to and including April