This prediction is based on DPIRD's Blackspot Manager model using weather data from 1 January 2018 to 8 May 2018 from the nearest weather station.
Key to blackspot severity scores
Blackspot risk | Five out of 10 years | Three out of 10 years | One out of 10 years |
---|---|---|---|
Low | 2 | 5 | 15 |
Medium | 20 | 25 | 35 |
High | 25 | 30 | 50 |
Ballarat
Rainfall to date: 120.6mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 45
Forecast for crops sown on | 7 May | 14 May | 21 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Too early to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Benalla
Rainfall to date: 77.2mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 44
Forecast for crops sown on | 7 May | 14 May | 21 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Marginally early to sow | Marginally early to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Charlton
Rainfall to date: 38.6mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 25
Forecast for crops sown on | 7 May | 14 May | 21 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginally early to sow | Avoid sowing as risk is high | Avoid sowing as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Cressy
Rainfall to date: 72.9mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 41
Forecast for crops sown on | 7 May | 14 May | 21 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Marginally early to sow | Marginally early to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Edenhope
Rainfall to date: 86mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 46
Forecast for crops sown on | 7 May | 14 May | 21 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 2 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Too early to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Hamilton
Rainfall to date: 92.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 45
Forecast for crops sown on | 7 May | 14 May | 21 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Too early to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Hopetoun
Rainfall to date: 21.2mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 7
Forecast for crops sown on | 7 May | 14 May | 21 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginally early to sow | Marginally early to sow | Avoid sowing as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Horsham
Rainfall to date: 51.8mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 32
Forecast for crops sown on | 7 May | 14 May | 21 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Marginally early to sow |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Marnoo
Rainfall to date: 43.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 32
Forecast for crops sown on | 7 May | 14 May | 21 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Too early to sow | Too early to sow |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Nhill
Rainfall to date: 37.2mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 22
Forecast for crops sown on | 7 May | 14 May | 21 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early to sow | Marginally early to sow | Avoid sowing as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Swan Hill
Rainfall to date: 34mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 19
Forecast for crops sown on | 7 May | 14 May | 21 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginally early to sow | Avoid sowing as risk is high | Avoid sowing as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Wycheproof
Rainfall to date: 55.3mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 32
Forecast for crops sown on | 7 May | 14 May | 21 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginally early to sow | Avoid sowing as risk is high | Avoid sowing as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
More information
For more information, contact Luise Sigel (plant pathologist) at Agriculture Victoria on +61 (0)3 5362 2111.