Canola blackleg spore shower risk forecast for Western Australia – 19 June 2023

Page last updated: Monday, 19 June 2023 - 11:54am

The DPIRD blackleg forecast model predicts the dates of spore maturation on canola stubble. Spore showers will commence soon after the spores are mature in the fruiting bodies. The model then predicts the risk of matching spore release with the seedling susceptible stage of the crop (4 – 6 leaf stage). The current forecast is based on weather data (1st January to 19th June 2023) from the nearest weather station. Projections assume four millimetres (mm) of rainfall per week from now until the end of the year.

Spore shower risk forecast map

Map showing the relative current risk of spores coinciding with the seedling stage based upon Blackleg Sporacle Model outputs for various locations in Western Australia, 19th June 2023.
Map showing the relative current risk of spores coinciding with the seedling stage based upon Blackleg Sporacle Model outputs for various locations in Western Australia, 19th June 2023.

If you are using the BlacklegCM decision support tool you can manually enter the blackleg risk levels that relate to your sowing date and location into the app under the “Crop Circumstances – Spore maturity risk” section. If you would like a location to be added to this forecast page please email CropDiseaseTools@dpird.wa.gov.au.

Risk Tables

The following table shows (districts of Western Australia listed in an alphabetical order) risk of blackleg spore showers coinciding with the seedling susceptible stage relative to the sowing date.

Badgingarra

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Bolgart

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Corrigin

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Darkan

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Eradu

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Esperance

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Gibson

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Jerramungup

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Kalannie

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

Moderate

Moderate

Moderate

Katanning

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Kendenup

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Kojonup

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Kulin

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Lake Grace

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Lake King

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Merredin

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Mingenew

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

Moderate

Moderate

High

Moora

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Mount Barker

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Mullewa

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

Moderate

Moderate

High

Munglinup

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Narrogin

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Northam

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Northampton

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Salmon Gums

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Scaddan

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

South Stirling

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Tammin

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Three Springs

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Wagin

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Williams

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Wongan Hills

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

York

Forecast for crops sown on

5 Jun

12 Jun

19 Jun

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Key to blackleg risk management for your district

Blackleg spore shower risk

Suggestions

Low

Consider applying seed dressing if varieties below MR-MS are sown

Medium

Consider applying recommended fungicide if varieties below MR are sown

High

Consider applying recommended fungicide if varieties below MR-R are sown

In high disease pressure situations seed dressing alone may not be sufficient in providing adequate protection from disease. In this scenario consider applying additional protection either using fertiliser based fungicide or foliar fungicide application. Consider applying foliar fungicide if none of the upfront (seed or fertiliser based) fungicide is applied.

More information

For more information refer to Australian Canola Variety Ratings 2023 Autumn Fact Sheet Blackleg Management Guide, produced by Grains Research and Development Corporation (GRDC).