Canola blackleg spore shower risk forecast for Western Australia - 16 April 2018

Page last updated: Friday, 20 April 2018 - 10:31am

Please note: This content may be out of date and is currently under review.

The map below shows the current predicted dates of spore maturation and consequently the predicted risk of matching spore release with the susceptible stage of the crop. Spore showers will commence soon after the spores are mature in the fruiting bodies. The current forecast is based on weather data (1st January to 16th April 2018) from the nearest weather station. Projections are based on an assumption of four millimetres (mm) of rainfall per week from now on.

Blackleg spore maturity forecast

Canola blackleg spore maturity forecast for Western Australia – 16 April 2018
Map showing predicted dates of canola blackleg spore maturity (dates) and the relative current risk of spores coinciding seedling stage (coloured circles) based upon Blackleg Sporacle Model outputs for various locations in Western Australia (updated 16th April 2018).

What does this map show?

Location specific spore maturity prediction date (that is, 26/4 means that spores are expected to be mature and to begin spreading from stubble to canola seedlings on 26 April, based on rainfall to date and anticipated rainfall of at least 4mm per week in the coming weeks at that location).

Different coloured circles indicate the current risk of blackleg (red: high, pink : high- moderate, black: moderate, blue: low and green: very low)

An accessible version of this table is available.

Canola blackleg risk management for the districts of Western Australia

The following table shows (districts of Western Australia listed in an alphabetical order) risk of blackleg spore showers coinciding with the seedling susceptible stage relative to the sowing date.

Badgingarra

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Low

Low

Corrigin

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Low

Medium

Darkan

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Medium

Medium

High

Eradu

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackspot risk

Low

Low

Low

Esperance Downs Research Station

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Jerramungup

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Medium

High

High

Katanning

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Medium

Medium

High

Lake Grace

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Medium

Medium

Lake King

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Medium

Medium

High

Merredin

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Low

Low

Mingenew

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Low

Low

Moora

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Low

Low

Mount Barker

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Medium

High

High

Mullewa

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Low

Low

Munglinup

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Narrogin

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Medium

Medium

Northam

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Low

Low

Northampton

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Low

Low

Salmon Gums

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Medium

Medium

Scaddan

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Medium

Medium

High

Tammin

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Low

Low

Three Springs

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Low

Low

Williams

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Medium

Medium

Wongan Hills

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Low

Low

York (Post Office)

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Low

Low

York (Talbot House)

Forecast for crops sown on

17 April

24 April

1 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Low

Medium

Key to blackleg risk management for your district

Blackleg spore shower risk Suggestions
Low Consider applying seed dressing if varieties below MR-MS are sown.
Medium Consider applying recommended fungicide if varieties below MR are sown.
High Consider applying recommended fungicide if varieties below MR-R are sown.

In high disease pressure situations seed dressing alone may not be sufficient in providing adequate protection from disease. In this scenario consider applying additional protection either using fertiliser based fungicide or foliar fungicide application. Consider applying foliar fungicide if none of the upfront (seed or fertiliser based) fungicide is applied.

More information

For more information refer to Blackleg Management Guide, 2018 Autumn Variety Ratings produced by Grains Research and Development Corporation (GRDC).

GRDC

Canola blackleg spore maturity forecast for Western Australia –16 April  2018 (accessible table)

This prediction is based on the weather data (1st January to 16th April 2018) from the nearest weather station and assumes four millimetres (mm) of rainfall per week from now on. The map shows the current predicted dates of spore maturation. Spore showers will start after the spores are mature. The maturity date can help growers to decide if and when foliar fungicide application is warranted depending on disease pressure (regional and paddock - specific) and varietal resistance.

Location

Projected maturity date for spores

Current maturity stage (colour of circle)

Badgingarra

31-May

Green

Corrigin

30-May

Blue

Darkan

10-May

Pink

Eradu

31-May

Green

Esperance

30-Apr

Red

Jerramungup

5-May

Red

Katanning

15-May

Pink

Lake Grace

19-May

Pink

Lake King

12-May

Pink

Merredin

31-May

Green

Mingenew

31-May

Green

Moora

31-May

Green

Mount Barker

6-May

Red

Mullewa

31-May

Green

Munglinup

22-Apr

Red

Narrogin

18-May

Pink

Northam

31-May

Green

Northampton

31-May

Green

Salmon Gums

17-May

Pink

Scaddan

9-May

Red

Tammin

31-May

Green

Three Springs

31-May

Green

Williams

18-May

Pink

Wongan Hills

31-May

Green

York (Post Office)

31-May

Green

York (Talbot House)

30-May

Blue

 

Contact information

Art Diggle
+61 (0)8 9368 3563