Canola blackleg spore shower risk forecast for Western Australia - 30 May 2018

Page last updated: Thursday, 31 May 2018 - 1:10pm

Please note: This content may be out of date and is currently under review.

The map below shows the current predicted dates of spore maturation and consequently the predicted risk of matching spore release with the susceptible stage of the crop. Spore showers will commence soon after the spores are mature in the fruiting bodies. The current forecast is based on weather data (1 January to 29 May 2018) from the nearest weather station. Projections are based on an assumption of four millimetres (mm) of rainfall per week from now on.

Blackleg spore maturity forecast

Map showing predicted dates of canola blackleg spore maturity (dates) and the relative current risk of spores coinciding seedling stage (coloured circles) based upon Blackleg Sporacle Model outputs for various locations in Western Australia (updated 30 Ma
Map showing predicted dates of canola blackleg spore maturity (dates) and the relative current risk of spores coinciding seedling stage (coloured circles) based upon Blackleg Sporacle Model outputs for various locations in Western Australia (updated 30 May 2018).

What does this map show?

  • Location specific spore maturity prediction date (that is, 26/4 means that spores are expected to be mature and to begin spreading from stubble to canola seedlings on 26 April, based on rainfall to date and anticipated rainfall of at least 4mm per week in the coming weeks at that location).
  • Different coloured circles indicate the current risk of blackleg (red: high, pink : high- moderate, black: moderate, blue: low and green: very low)

An accessible version of this table is available.

Canola blackleg risk management for the districts of Western Australia

The following table shows (districts of Western Australia listed in an alphabetical order) risk of blackleg spore showers coinciding with the seedling susceptible stage relative to the sowing date.

Badgingarra

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Low Low Low

Corrigin

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Low Low Medium

Darkan

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Medium High High

Eradu

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Low Low Low

Esperance Downs Research Station

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk High High High

Jerramungup

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Medium Medium High

Katanning

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Medium High High

Lake Grace

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Low Medium Medium

Lake King

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Low Medium Medium

Merredin

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Low Low Low

Mingenew

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Low Low Low

Moora

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Low Medium Medium

Mount Barker

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk High High High

Mullewa

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Low Low Low

Munglinup

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk High High High

Narrogin

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Medium High High

Northam

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Low Low Medium

Northampton

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Low Low Low

Salmon Gums

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Low Medium Medium

Scaddan

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Medium High High

Tammin

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Low Low Medium

Three Springs

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Low Low Low

Williams

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Medium High High

Wongan Hills

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Low Low Low

York (Post Office)

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Low Low Medium

York (Talbot House)

Forecast for crops sown on 22 May 29 May 5 June
Blackleg risk Low Low Medium

Key to blackleg risk management for your district

Blackleg spore shower risk Suggestions
Low Consider applying seed dressing if varieties below MR-MS are sown
Medium Consider applying recommended fungicide if varieties below MR are sown
High Consider applying recommended fungicide if varieties below MR-R are sown

In high disease pressure situations seed dressing alone may not be sufficient in providing adequate protection from disease. In this scenario consider applying additional protection either using fertiliser based fungicide or foliar fungicide application. Consider applying foliar fungicide if none of the upfront (seed or fertiliser based) fungicide is applied. More information Blackleg Management Guide, 2018 Autumn Variety Ratings from Grains Research and Development Corporation (GRDC).

Canola blackleg spore maturity forecast for Western Australia – 30 May 2018 (accessible table)

This prediction is based on the weather data (1 January to 29 May 2018) from the nearest weather station and assumes four millimetres (mm) of rainfall per week from now on. The map shows the current predicted dates of spore maturation. Spore showers will start after the spores are mature. The maturity date can help growers to decide if and when foliar fungicide application is warranted depending on disease pressure (regional and paddock - specific) and varietal resistance.

Table 2 Predicted dates of canola blackleg spore maturity (dates) and current status of fungal fruiting body (colour of circle) based upon Blackleg Sporacle Model outputs for various locations in Western Australia (updated 30 May 2018).
Location Projected maturity date for spores Current maturity stage (colour of circle)
Badgingarra 6 July Blue
Corrigin 28 June Pink
Darkan 7 June Red
Eradu 6 July Blue
Esperance 1 June Red
Jerramungup 13 June Red
Katanning 12 June Red
Lake Grace 25 June Pink
Lake King 24 June Pink
Merridin 7 July Blue
Mingenew 6 July Blue
Moora 27 June Pink
Mount Barker 26 May Red
Mullewa 6 July Blue
Munglinup 5 June Red
Narrogin 15 June Red
Northam 30 June Black
Northampton 6 July Blue
Salmon Gums 23 June Pink
Scaddan 14 June Red
Tammin 29 June Pink
Three Springs 6 July Blue
Williams 16 June Red
Wongan Hills 6 July Blue
York (Post Office) 30 June Black
York (Talbot House) 28 June Pink

Contact information

Art Diggle
+61 (0)8 9368 3563