Canola blackleg spore shower risk forecast for Western Australia – 7 May 2019

Page last updated: Thursday, 16 May 2019 - 9:43am

Please note: This content may be out of date and is currently under review.

The map below shows the current predicted dates of spore maturation and consequently the predicted risk of matching spore release with the susceptible stage of the crop. Spore showers will commence soon after the spores are mature in the fruiting bodies. The current forecast is based on weather data (1st January to 6th May 2019) from the nearest weather station. Projections are based on an assumption of four millimetres (mm) of rainfall per week from now on.

Canola blackleg spore maturity forecast for Western Australia – 7 May 2019

Canola Blackleg Spore maturity map
Map showing predicted dates of canola blackleg spore maturity (dates) and the relative current risk of spores coinciding seedling stage (red: high, pink: high- moderate, black: moderate, blue: low and green: very low) based upon Blackleg Sporacle Model outputs for various locations in Western Australia (7 May 2019).

What does this map show?

  • Location specific spore maturity prediction date (that is, 21/4 means that spores are expected to be mature and to begin spreading from stubble to canola seedlings on 21 April, based on rainfall to date and anticipated rainfall of at least 4mm per week in the coming weeks at that location).
  • Different coloured circles indicate the current risk of blackleg (red: high, pink : high- moderate, black: moderate, blue: low and green: very low)

An accessible version of this table is available.

Canola blackleg risk management for the districts of Western Australia

The following table shows (districts of Western Australia listed in an alphabetical order) risk of blackleg spore showers coinciding with the seedling susceptible stage relative to the sowing date.

Badgingarra

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Medium

Medium

Corrigin

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Medium

Medium

High

Darkan

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Eradu

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackspot risk

Low

Low

Low

Esperance Downs Research Station

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Jerramungup

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Katanning

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Medium

High

High

Kulin Post Office

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Medium

High

High

Lake Grace

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Medium

Medium

Lake King

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Medium

Medium

High

Merredin

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Medium

Medium

Mingenew

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Low

Medium

Moora

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Low

Medium

Mount Barker

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Mullewa

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Low

Medium

Munglinup

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Medium

High

High

Narrogin

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

High

High

High

Northam

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Medium

Medium

Northampton

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Low

Medium

Salmon Gums

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Medium

Medium

High

Scaddan

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Medium

High

High

Tammin

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Medium

Medium

Three Springs

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Low

Low

Williams

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Medium

Medium

High

Wongan Hills

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Low

Medium

York (Post Office)

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Medium

Medium

High

York (Talbot House)

Forecast for crops sown on

8 May

15 May

22 May

Blackleg risk

Low

Medium

Medium

Key to blackleg risk management for your district

Blackleg spore shower risk

Suggestions

Low

Consider applying seed dressing if varieties below MR-MS are sown.

Medium

Consider applying recommended fungicide if varieties below MR are sown.

High

Consider applying recommended fungicide if varieties below MR-R are sown.

In high disease pressure situations seed dressing alone may not be sufficient in providing adequate protection from disease. In this scenario consider applying additional protection either using fertiliser based fungicide or foliar fungicide application. Consider applying foliar fungicide if none of the upfront (seed or fertiliser based) fungicide is applied.

More information

For more information refer to 2019 Blackleg Management Guide produced by Grains Research and Development Corporation (GRDC). 

Canola blackleg spore maturity forecast for Western Australia – 7 May 2019 (accessible table)

This prediction is based on the weather data (January to 6 May 2019) from the nearest weather station and assumes four millimetres (mm) of rainfall per week from now on. The map shows the current predicted dates of spore maturation. Spore showers will start after the spores are mature. The maturity date can help growers to decide if and when foliar fungicide application is warranted depending on disease pressure (regional and paddock - specific) and varietal resistance.

Table 2. Predicted dates of canola blackleg spore maturity (dates) and current status of fungal fruiting body (colour of circle) based upon Blackleg Sporacle Model outputs for various locations in Western Australia (7 May 2019).

Location

Projected maturity date for spores

Current maturity stage (colour of circle)

Badgingarra

10-June

Black

Corrigin

5-June

Pink

Darkan

20-May

Red

Eradu

21-June

Green

Esperance

20-May

Red

Jerramungup

12-May

Red

Katanning

27-May

Red

Kulin

27-May

Pink

Lake Grace

9-June

Pink

Lake King

31-May

Pink

Merredin

9-June

Pink

Mingenew

19-June

Blue

Moora

14-June

Black

Mount Barker

25-Apr

Red

Mullewa

19-June

Blue

Munglinup

24-May

Red

Narrogin

22-May

Red

Northam

9-June

Pink

Northampton

18-June

Blue

Salmon Gums

4-June

Pink

Scaddan

26-May

Red

Tammin

8-June

Pink

Three Springs

21-June

Green

Williams

5-June

Pink

Wongan Hills

18-June

Blue

York (Post Office)

5-June

Pink

York (Talbot House)

8-June

Pink

 

 

Contact information

Art Diggle
+61 (0)8 9368 3563