This prediction is based on DPIRD's Blackspot Manager model using weather data from 1 January 2018 to 9 May 2018 from the nearest weather station.
Key to blackspot severity scores
Blackspot risk | Five out of 10 years | Three out of 10 years | One out of 10 years |
---|---|---|---|
Low | 2 | 5 | 15 |
Medium | 20 | 25 | 35 |
High | 25 | 30 | 50 |
Balaklava
Rainfall to date: 47.1mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 26
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Blyth (Hart)
Rainfall to date: 52.3mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 35
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is medium | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Bordertown
Rainfall to date: 52mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 34
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Bute
Rainfall to date: 77mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 39
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is medium | Ok to sow |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Low |
Clare
Rainfall to date: 84.8mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 47
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 2 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early | Too early | Marginal early |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Crystal Brook
Rainfall to date: 43.3mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 21
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high | Marginal early |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Eudunda
Rainfall to date: 62.1mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 39
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is medium | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Low |
Keith
Rainfall to date: 55.6mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 25
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Kimba
Rainfall to date: 43.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 14
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Kingsford
Rainfall to date: 66.1mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 48
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 2 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | OK to sow | OK to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Kyancutta
Rainfall to date: 43.9mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 24
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Lameroo
Rainfall to date: 25.3mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 12
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Lock
Rainfall to date: 48.8mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 27
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Maitland
Rainfall to date: 71.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 39
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early | Marginal early | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Low |
Mannum
Rainfall to date: 32.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 19
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Minlaton
Rainfall to date: 61.5mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 27
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Minnipa
Rainfall to date: 33.9mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 32
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Mount Barker SA
Rainfall to date: 125.2mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 61
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early | Too early | Too early |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Murray Bridge
Rainfall to date: 34.5mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 20
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Mypolonga
Rainfall to date: 33.6mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 18
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Naracoorte
Rainfall to date: 64.6mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 54
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early | Too early | Marginal early |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Nuriootpa
Rainfall to date: 70mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 37
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is medium | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Palmer
Rainfall to date: 44mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 33
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Port Broughton
Rainfall to date: 57mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 33
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is medium | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Riverton
Rainfall to date: 81.8mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 40
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Too early | Marginal early | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Sedan
Rainfall to date: 33mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 18
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Snowtown
Rainfall to date: 76.8mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 42
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is medium | Okay to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Medium | Low |
Strathalbyn
Rainfall to date: 58.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 37
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is medium | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Medium |
Tumby Bay
Rainfall to date: 44.9mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 21
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Yeelanna
Rainfall to date: 68.4mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 30
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
Yorketown
Rainfall to date: 48.8mm. Days with significant stubble moisture: 26
Weekly forecast | 8 May | 15 May | 22 May |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 3-4 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Marginal early | Do not sow as risk is high | Do not sow as risk is medium |
Blackspot risk | High | High | Medium |
More information
For more information contact Dr Jenny Davidson at SARDI on +61 (0)8 8303 9389.