This prediction is based on the Department of Primary Industries and Regional Development's Blackspot Manager model using weather data from 1 January 2018 to 18 June 2018 from the nearest weather station.
Key to blackspot severity scores
Blackspot risk | Five out of 10 years | Three out of 10 years | One out of 10 years |
---|---|---|---|
Low | 2 | 5 | 15 |
Medium | 20 | 25 | 35 |
High | 25 | 30 | 50 |
Ballarat
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 230.2mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 81
Forecast for crops sown on | 17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | Sow | Sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Benalla
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 150.3mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 71
Forecast for crops sown on | 17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | Sow | Past optimum time to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Charlton
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 101.9mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 52
Forecast for crops sown on | 17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3-4 | 2 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still medium | Past optimum time to sow | Past optimum time to sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Cressy
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 150.2mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 69
Forecast for crops sown on | 17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | Past optimum time to sow | Past optimum time to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Edenhope
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 195.5mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 81
Forecast for crops sown on | 17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | Sow | Sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Hamilton
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 226.7mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 79
Forecast for crops sown on | 17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | Sow | Sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Hopetoun
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 60.9mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 27
Forecast for crops sown on | 17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still high | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still high | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still high |
Blackspot risk | High | High | High |
Horsham
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 115.4mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 64
Forecast for crops sown on | 17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | Past optimum time to sow | Past optimum time to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Marnoo
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 103.8mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 60
Forecast for crops sown on | 17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Sow | Sow | Past optimum time to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
Nhill
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 99mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 52
Forecast for crops sown on | 17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 3 to 4 | 2 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still medium | Sow | Sow |
Blackspot risk | Medium | Low | Low |
Swan Hill
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 72.9mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 39
Forecast for crops sown on | 17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 5 | 3-4 | 2 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Agronomically suitable sowing time, but note blackspot risk is still high | Past optimal to sow, but note blackspot risk is still medium | Past optimum time to sow |
Blackspot risk | High | Medium | Low |
Wycheproof
Last date used for prediction: 17 June 2018. Rainfall to date: 102.2mm
Days with significant stubble moisture: 59
Forecast for crops sown on | 17 June | 24 June | 1 July |
---|---|---|---|
Blackspot severity | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Sowing guide (based on agronomic suitability) | Past optimal time to sow | Past optimal time to sow | Past optimal time to sow |
Blackspot risk | Low | Low | Low |
More information
For more information, contact Luise Sigel (plant pathologist) at Agriculture Victoria on +61 (0)3 5362 2111.