Bureau of Meteorology seasonal climate outlook
The Bureau of Meteorology’s climate outlooks are generated by a dynamical (physics based) coupled atmosphere-ocean climate model.
The Bureau of Meteorology’s current seasonal outlook has a near-neutral outlook for July to September, indicating a 40-50% chance of exceeding median rainfall for the SWLD. Predictive skill is mostly moderate to good (55-75% consistent) over the southern part of WA.
Temperature outlooks for July to September 2018, from the Bureau indicate a 50-80% chance of above normal day-time maxima for the SWLD. Skill is poor to moderate at 50-65% consistent. Minimum temperature outlooks indicate a 60-80% chance of above normal night-time minima for the SWLD, with skill poor to moderate at 45-65% consistent.
Rainfall outlook for July to September 2018 for Western Australia from the Bureau of Meteorology.
Percent Consistent skill of the Bureau of Meteorology’s outlook for July to September rainfall.