Bureau of Meteorology seasonal climate outlook
The Bureau of Meteorology’s climate outlooks are generated by a dynamical (physics based) coupled atmosphere-ocean climate model.
The Bureau of Meteorology’s current seasonal outlook has a near-neutral outlook for winter, indicating a 40-50% chance of exceeding median rainfall for the SWLD. Predictive skill is mostly poor to moderate (50-65% consistent).
Temperature outlooks for winter, June to August, from the Bureau indicate a 60-80% chance of above normal day-time maxima for the SWLD. Skill is low to moderate at 45-65% consistent. Minimum temperature outlooks indicate a 55-80% chance of above normal night-time minima for the SWLD, with skill poor to good at 50-75% consistent.
Rainfall outlook for June to August 2018 for Western Australia from the Bureau of Meteorology.
Percent Consistent skill of the Bureau of Meteorology’s outlook for June to August rainfall.